1. Many adults will remain vaccine-hesitant (currently 30% of adults, might drop to 15%)
2. Many children (24% of the population) may not get vaccinated - various reasons
No trials are currently underway for those under age 12
Child vaccine trials may not get emergency approval
Even if approved, 1/3 of parents surveyed refuse to have their children vaccinated
3. Vaccine immunity may wear off too soon (1 year is typical for influenza vaccine)
4. Vaccines may not as effective against new variants - including those new variants generated by the vaccines
5. Vaccines might not actually stop asymptomatic infection
There is no contingency plan in case we do not achieve herd immunity with just vaccines
A good immune system can deal with varients. Vitamin D can improve the immune system
References: VitaminDWiki
How healthy innate immune systems adapt to viral mutations - Feb 2021
COVID-19 treated by Vitamin D - studies, reports, videos
As of March 31, 2024, the VitaminDWiki COVID page had: trial results, meta-analyses and reviews, Mortality studies see related: Governments, HealthProblems, Hospitals, Dark Skins, All 26 COVID risk factors are associated with low Vit D, Fight COVID-19 with 50K Vit D weekly Vaccines Take lots of Vitamin D at first signs of COVID 166 COVID Clinical Trials using Vitamin D (Aug 2023) Prevent a COVID death: 9 dollars of Vitamin D or 900,000 dollars of vaccine - Aug 2023
5 most-recently changed Virus entries
Vitamin D meta-analyses for COVID-19
- Vaccinations did not stop COVID (68 studies) – meta-analysis May 2023
- Influenza risk cut in half by the only trial giving enough vitamin D for body weight – meta-analysis Jan 2022
- Multiple Vitamin D doses reduced COVID ICU by 2.5 X , Mech. Ventilation by 5.5 X – meta-analysis May 2024
- COVID death rate in hospital halved if take any amount of vitamin D for any length of time – meta-analysis May 2024
- COVID and Vitamin D: 2X more likely to die if low, 2X more likely to survive if supplement – umbrella meta-analysis April 2024
- COVID fought by Vitamin D: 2.3X less likely to die of COVID if supplemented, 1.9 X less likely to become infected – meta-analysis March 2024
- COVID Vaccinations increased risk of cardiac deaths in youths by 19% - Aug 2023
- T1 Diabetes increased by 27% by second year of COVID – meta-analysis June 2023
- Yet another reason to take Vitamin D while pregnant – fight COVID - meta-analysis May 2023
- COVID death 1.5 X less likely if high vitamin D, emergency D (50K to 100K) is great – meta-analysis March 2023
- COVID ICU 3X less-likely if take any amount and type of Vitamin D – meta-analysis Jan 2023
- COVID and Vitamin D: any amount of D, at any time, for any duration reduced ICU - meta-analysis Dec 2022
- Worse COVID during 3Q pregnancy if 2.5 ng lower Vitamin D – meta-analysis Sept 2022
- Severe COVID 2.6 X less likely if supplement with Vitamin D – 26th meta-analysis - July 2022
- COVID Long-Haul prevalence increases with time: 50% at 4 months - meta June 2022
- COVID test positive is about half as likely if have Vitamin D – 24th meta-analysis - Jan 2022
- Small amounts of Vitamin D reduce Influenza risk by 22 percent (loading dose is far better) – meta-analysis Jan 2022
- Vitamin D fights COVID (54 studies of 1,400,000 people) – 23rd meta-analysis - Dec 2021
- COVID-19 treated by Vitamin D (reduce ICU by 3X) - 22nd meta-analysis - Dec 29, 2021
- COVID-19 death increased 2X if low Vitamin D (less than 10 to less than 30 ng) – 21st meta-analysis Dec 2021
- COVID-19 risk reduced by vitamin D supplementation – umbrella review of 7 meta-analysis – Oct 2021
- COVID-19 treated by Vitamin D (example: ICU reduced by 5X) – 20th meta-analysis Oct 13, 2021
- Severe COVID-19 2.5 X more likely if low vitamin D (23 studies) – 19th meta-analysis Oct 2021
- COVID-19 mortality extrapolates to zero at 50 ng of vitamin D – 18th Meta-analysis Sept 2021
- COVID-19 death 1.6 X more likely if low vitamin D (24 studies) – 17th meta-analysis Aug 2021
- Severe COVID-19 5X more likely if low vitamin D (23 studies) – 16th meta-analysis July 2021
- Severe COVID-19 3.5 more likely if low vitamin D (30 studies) – meta-analysis July 2021
- COVID-19 patients who had supplemented with Vitamin D were 3X less likely to enter ICU – June 2021
- Low Calcium associated with severe COVID-19 – several studies
- COVID-19 mortality 3X more likely if low vitamin D (999,179 people) – meta-analysis March 29, 2021
- COVID-19 was 2.6X more severe if very low Vitamin D (43 studies) – meta-analysis March 26, 2021
- Low Vitamin D associated with 2.7X more severe COVID-19 – 12th MA March 5, 2021
- Vitamin D supplementation fights COVID-19 – 11th meta-analysis Jan 24, 2021
- 3.7 X less likely to die of COVID-19 if supplemented with Vitamin D - meta-analysis Jan 5, 2021
- Less likely to test positive for COVID-19 if higher Vitamin D – meta-analysis Jan 6, 2021
- Vitamin D reduces COVID-19 by 80 percent - anonymous meta-analysis - Jan 5, 2021
- COVID-19 1.7X more likely to be severe if low Vitamin D - meta-analysis Oct 2020
- Low Vitamin D associated 1.8X increased risk of COVID-19 death in hospital – meta-analysis Nov 4, 2020
- Acute viral respiratory infections (RTI) reduced by Vitamin D - 20 reviews - Aug 2020
- Prudent to consider that Vitamin D has a role in COVID-19 – meta-analysis – Aug 7, 2020
- Risk of enveloped virus infection is increased 50 percent if poor Vitamin D Receptor - meta-analysis Dec 2018
- Hepatitis B patients have 2 ng lower level of Vitamin D – meta-analysis June 2019
- Influenza Vaccination not benefited by lowish levels of vitamin D – meta-analysis March 2018
References: Web
Children
- You’re Vaccinated. Your Kids Are Not. What Now? NY Times April 14, 2021
- 19% of all US COVID-19 infections in the Us are children MD Edge April 2021
- But only 0.06% of COVID-19 deaths are children
- About 12% of U.S. children with COVID-19 were hospitalized in 2020 MD Edge April 2021
- When can kids get the COVID-19 vaccine? A pediatrician answers 5 key questions Fast Company March 23, 2021
- Pfizer, BioNTech launch COVID-19 vaccine trial in kids under 12 MDEdge March 26
- Starting dose sizing trails now. Clinical trials for efficacy later. They hope to get approval to inject kids in early 2022
Non-kids
- 45% of US Republicans surveyed this week do not plan to get vaccinated NY Times April 14, 2021
- Immunisation, asymptomatic infection, herd immunity, and the new variants of COVID 19 -preprint Jan 2021
- "That the Oxford AstraZeneca vaccine may not prevent asymptomatic infection and therefore stop all transmission was suggested even in early non-human primate studies which found “there was no difference in nasal shedding between vaccinated and control SARS-CoV-2-infected macaques (van Doremalen et al., 2020). " PDF
- Larry Brilliant: Wired Magazine Interview April 1, 2021
- Herd immunity cannot be accomplished when there are variants
- "That's not how any pandemic ends."
- "We need a plan B"
- "That’s part of your plan B, what you call a comprehensive rapid-detection and outbreak-containment system"
- Note: His plan B relies on notifying people who have been in close contact with a person who is infected with a new variant via their smartphone.
- Unfortunately,
- 1) 30% of the population do not have Smartphones (mainly elderly and children)
- 2) Suspect that many smartphone owners will not want to download the app
- 3) Suspect that many will not want to get vaccinated yet again because they had been near someone in the previous few days who got a COVID-21 infection
- He assumes that the vaccine manufacturers will be able to develop variants as fast as the virus can make varients
- Can Vaccinated People Spread the Virus? We Don’t Know, Scientists Say NYT April 1, 2021
- Researchers pushed back after the C.D.C. director asserted that vaccinated people “do not carry the virus.”
- 9% of the world have been vaccinated NYT April 4
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