Estimated cost savings of getting most Canadians to 40 ng of Vitamin D - 2016

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Considering: Increasing the vitamin D level of all Canadians to 40 ng would save 6 to 18 billion dollars a year – Grant Nov 2016

It estimated at the medical cost savings from just 7 health problems by an average of 20%

• Cancer, Cardiovascular, Dementia, Multiple Sclerosis, Osteoporosis, Respiratory infections

Since there were 36 million Canadians at the time, the medical cost savings would have been $166 to $500 per person
Adjusting for inflation from 2016 to 2023 by 1.27 X
Range of medical cost savings for getting to 40 ng of vitamin D in 2023 dollars is $210 to $635 per person

Vitamin D has been proven to reduce another 21 health problems

• Asthma, Gut, Autism, Fibromyalgia, Osteoarthritis, Sepsis, Dental, Back Pain, Allergy, Depression, colds, Pregnancy (pre-term, miscarriage, stillbirth, reduced IVF @ $150/birth), flu, faster surgery recovery, Stroke, COPD, Obesity.

We conservatively assume that decreasing these 21 health will decrease the medical cost by 20%: $252 to $762

We assume that increasing the vitamin D level from 40 ng to > 60 ng would decrease medical costs by another 20% $320 to $914

$200/year total cost for supplementation
$80/year Vitamin D (various dose sizes and types), Vitamin K2, and Magnesium (retail prices) all are retail prices
$10/year Vitamin D tests (1 every 4 years on average) ($40 retail price)
$130/year distribution, updating database, marketing, education, misc
Thus the Return on Investment ranges from 1.6X to 4.5X

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The ROI DOES NOT consider non-medical cost savings from additional Vitamin D:

Employeer:

• reduced sick leave,
• improved productivity due to fewer headaches, colds, flu, obesity,
• reduced need to hire and train a replacement employee (if the employee died or was disabled)

Person:

• reduced cost of medical travel
• reduced expensive drugs
• increased income (was not disabled)
• less time spent on caregiving (which sometimes requires quitting their job)

Government:

• reduction in # of people on disability (8% of Icelanders are on disability)
• increased taxes for people fully engaged in work vs. on disability

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The ROI DOES NOT consider the cost savings due to Magnesium or Vitamin K2

Magnesium reduces
Hypertension, stress, headaches, diabetes, restless legs, hip fracture, heart disease, constipation
Vitamin K2-7 reduces
Bone Fractures, Cardiovascular, Breast Cancer

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