How a 2019 NEJM Study (VITAL) Misled the World on Vitamin D
Brownstone Institute
Snippits
- "But there is a foundational problem: most participants weren’t vitamin D deficient to begin with. Only 12.7% had levels below 20 ng/mL, the threshold generally associated with increased risk. The mean baseline level was 30.8 ng/mL—already at or near sufficiency. It’s the equivalent of testing whether insulin helps people who don’t have diabetes."
- "Further eroding the study’s contrast, participants in the placebo arm were allowed to take up to 800 IU/day of vitamin D on their own. By year 5, more than 10% of the placebo group was exceeding that limit. The intervention, in effect, became a test of high-dose vitamin D versus medium-dose vitamin D, not against a true control."
Only a few participants had their vitamin D response measured
Only 6% of the participants had their end-of-trial vitamin D levels measured (approximately $50 for each quantitative test = too expensive)
Founder of VitaminDWiki was opposed to the trial before it was even started.
- Was worried that the VITAL trial would set back research by at least 5 years
- It appears that vitamin D research funding has decreased by about half recently (perhaps due to poor results of the VITAL trial)
Doctors discover that a supplement helps: 1) within 10 years many doctors prescribe it, 2) Now 30-90 years to get a global consensus
Related in VitaminDWiki
- The many problems with Vitamin D trials (such as VITAL) - Sunil
- Problems with the VITAL study
- RCTs should use individual vitamin D dosing to reach a preset level.
- RCTs: The Foundational Flaw of Modern Medicine?
- Non-RCTs may over-estimate benefits by 19%. by confounding, etc.
- Perhaps just use non-RCTS when the benefits found are very large
- Vitamin D is needed while pregnant - 200 IU to 4,000 IU daily (17 clinical guidelines)
- many guidelines, no consensus - waiting for a "good", large RCT%
- CYP2R1 gene reduces response to Vitamin D - many studies
- Liposomal Vitamin D appears to have a 3X faster and better response
- Founder of VitaminDWiki has been taking the liposomal form since early 2025
- Dietary fat increased Vitamin D response by 32% – RCT
- VITAL did not even specify that participants should take the vitamin D with a fatty meal or reduce Omega-6 from other sources