Women worried about breast cancer seem to be taking vitamin D
The influence of a breast cancer diagnosis on serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D.
Am J Epidemiol. 2019 Jan 4. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy285.
O'Brien KM1,2, Sandler DP1, House M3, Taylor JA1, Weinberg CR2.
1 Epidemiology Branch, National Institutes of Environmental Health Sciences.
2 Biostatistics and Computational Biology Branch, National Institute of Enviro, Health Sciences.
3 Westat, Inc., Durham, NC.
| Test #1 | Test #2 4-10 years later) |
Breast Cancer risk per +10 ng of Vit D |
|
| No Breast Cancer | 32 ng | 40 ng | -13% |
| Breast Cancer | 32 ng | 44 ng | * 17% |
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Prospective and retrospective studies of vitamin D and breast cancer have produced discrepant results. This may be due to variations in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] concentrations over time, including systematic changes after breast cancer diagnosis. We measured total serum 25(OH)D in Sister Study participants who provided samples at baseline (2003-2009) and 4-10 years later (2013-2015). This included 827 women with an intervening breast cancer and 771 without. Although modestly correlated over time (R=0.42), 25(OH)D concentrations increased in both groups, with larger increases among cases (averaging 31.6 ng/mL at baseline, 43.5 ng/mL at follow-up) than controls (32.3 ng/mL at baseline, 40.4 ng/mL at follow-up). Consequently, the estimated association between 25(OH)D and breast cancer depended on whether baseline (odds ratio [OR]=0.87, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.78-0.98 per 10 ng/mL) or second blood draw measures (OR=1.17, 95% CI: 1.08-1.26 per 10 ng/mL) were used.
Concentrations were related to regular (>4 times/week) vitamin D supplement use, which became more common over time . Increases were greater in cases (56% to 84%) than in controls (56% to 77%).
Our results do not explain previously observed differences between retrospective and prospective studies, but do demonstrate how reverse causation and temporal trends in exposure can distort inference.