Back and shoulder surgeries are sometimes worse than useless

This page was made after seeing The Economist: Back and shoulder surgery is OFTEN worse than useless

I no longer subscribe to The Economist ($$$)


Claude AI

It's an Economist leader (opinion piece) from September 24 [Economist leader]. A companion science article ran in the September 26 print edition, arguing that randomised trials are showing many surgeries to be unnecessary. It names spinal fusions and rotator-cuff repairs as procedures whose effects match placebo or physiotherapy [Economist, "Jack the knife"].

The "worse than useless" logic is simple. If an operation does no better than a sham or physiotherapy, its risks (infection, anaesthesia, revision surgery, months of recovery) make it a net loss. The evidence for the main targets is strong:

Procedure Key evidence Finding
Shoulder subacromial decompression (bone-spur removal) CSAW trial, Lancet 2018; FIMPACT (Finland) No better than placebo arthroscopy
Rotator cuff repair, degenerative small/medium tears Finnish 3-arm RCT; Norwegian 103-patient RCT No difference or small differences vs physiotherapy
Vertebroplasty (cement into a fractured vertebra) Cochrane review 2018 No important benefit vs sham procedure
Adding fusion to decompression for degenerative spondylolisthesis NORDSTEN-DS, NEJM 2021 Fusion added nothing at 2 years
Fusion/laminectomy for non-specific age-related back pain Multiple RCTs vs exercise Little or no benefit

Shoulder. CSAW enrolled patients who had already failed exercise therapy and steroid injections. Removing the bone spur gave no extra benefit over arthroscopy alone, which served as the placebo [CSAW, PubMed]. After this trial, NHS England classed the operation as a "procedure of limited value" [Oxford REF impact]. British operations fell from 28,000 to 5,720 within a few years, while the procedure stayed popular in America [Economist, "Jack the knife"].

For non-traumatic supraspinatus tears, a Finnish trial found no meaningful difference among physiotherapy, acromioplasty, and tendon repair [Finnish RCT summary].

Back. Cochrane found high- to moderate-quality evidence that vertebroplasty gives no important benefit over sham. It also found that open (unblinded) trials had probably overestimated the benefit [Cochrane vertebroplasty]. For people with degenerative spondylolisthesis (one vertebra slipped forward on the next) who were already having surgery, adding fusion to decompression didn't help [NORDSTEN-DS].

A Lown Institute analysis estimated over 200,000 unnecessary back surgeries on Medicare patients in three years, costing about $2 billion. Rates ranged from zero to more than half of procedures, depending on the hospital [Lown Institute].

Broader pattern. A review of 53 sham-controlled surgical trials found that the real operation was no better than the sham in 27 of them [Sham surgery, Wikipedia]. This is the real reason the Economist's argument holds: many operations became standard before anyone tested them against a placebo.

Where the headline goes too far: * "Often" is doing a lot of work. Back and shoulder surgery clearly helps in many situations: cauda equina syndrome, spinal cord compression, fractures, tumours, infection, deformity, shoulder replacement for arthritis, and disc herniation with persistent sciatica (where surgery speeds relief). * For rotator cuff tears, repair results were slightly better at 5 years in one trial. Also, about a third of unrepaired tears grew and had worse outcomes [Moosmayer RCT]. So for some patients, "useless" is too strong. * The CSAW authors stressed that their results don't justify denying other kinds of shoulder surgery once non-operative care has failed [Oxford NDORMS]. * The overuse problem is largest in fee-for-service systems like the US, where surgery brings in revenue. The research mostly comes from Britain, Finland, Norway, and Australia, where usage has already dropped.

Bottom line: For degenerative, non-specific pain, the claim is well supported. Before agreeing to an elective spine or shoulder operation, it's worth asking whether that specific procedure has been tested against a sham or physiotherapy, and what that trial found.


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Tags: Back pain