Zika model indicates 25 times more cases in US as had been reported to the CDC – Aug 2016

There's Probably Way More Zika in the United States Than Has Been Counted Atlantic

  • “In a paper that’s still under review for journal publication, they describe computer modeling that suggests there were nearly 30,000 cases of travel-related Zika in the country in mid-June, about 25 times more cases than the 1,200 or so reported by the CDC at the time”

 Download the non-peer reviewed PDF from VitaminDWiki

Zika infections vs country
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“The bold line and shaded area refer to the estimated median number of infections and 95%CI of the model projections, respectively. Rates include asymptomatic infections.
Note: approximately 1 in 4 Zika bites result in symptoms

Births in which Zika was during first trimester (1-4% might be microcephalic)
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Zika Reproduction vs season (R0) maps
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Comments following a quick read:

  • Many countries are under-reporting, not just the US.
  • Under-reporting is often due to indiviuals not reporting - reasons include
    Not notice any infection
    Not think that the infection was anything special
    Nothing could be done about a Zika infection anyway

See also VitaminDWiki

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