COVID-19 deaths are proportional to previous interleukin-6 levels, Vitamin D lowers them – Nov 2020

Correlation between premorbid IL-6 levels and COVID-19 mortality: Potential role for Vitamin D

International Immunopharmacology 88 (2020) 106995
Morry Silberstein, School of Molecular & Life Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia
COVID-19 mortality strongly proportional to pre-existing mean IL-6 levels
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Clinical trials have found that Vitamin D lowers IL-6 levels
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There is recent evidence that interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels are elevated in cases of complicated COVID-19, but it is also possible that this cytokine may have a far more important role in the pathogenesis of viral infection. IL-6 is known to be modulated by Vitamin D, and there is preliminary evidence that deficiency of this vitamin is linked to poorer outcomes. To identify whether IL-6 levels prior to infection might predict outcome, early data on COVID-19 mortality from Italy and the UK were compared with previously published results of mean IL-6 levels from these countries as well as from the USA.
There was a highly significant correlation (r = 0.9883; p = 0.00025) between age-stratified mortality rates and IL-6 levels from previously published data on healthy individuals.
To determine whether Vitamin D may be beneficial at lowering IL-6 levels in patients, a limited analysis of trials examining the relationship between these entities published since 2015 was undertaken.
Eight out of 11 studies described a significant lowering effect of Vitamin D on IL-6.
Given that IL-6 likely facilitates viral cell entry and replication, levels prior to infection may predict mortality.
This provides a rationale for prophylactic and therapeutic measures directed at lowering IL-6, including Vitamin D prescription.

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