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Zika model indicates 25 times more cases in US as had been reported to the CDC – Aug 2016

There's Probably Way More Zika in the United States Than Has Been Counted Atlantic

  • “In a paper that’s still under review for journal publication, they describe computer modeling that suggests there were nearly 30,000 cases of travel-related Zika in the country in mid-June, about 25 times more cases than the 1,200 or so reported by the CDC at the time”

 Download the non-peer reviewed PDF from VitaminDWiki

Zika infections vs country
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“The bold line and shaded area refer to the estimated median number of infections and 95%CI of the model projections, respectively. Rates include asymptomatic infections.
Note: approximately 1 in 4 Zika bites result in symptoms

Births in which Zika was during first trimester (1-4% might be microcephalic)
Image

Zika Reproduction vs season (R0) maps
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Comments following a quick read:

  • Many countries are under-reporting, not just the US.
  • Under-reporting is often due to indiviuals not reporting - reasons include
    Not notice any infection
    Not think that the infection was anything special
    Nothing could be done about a Zika infection anyway

See also VitaminDWiki

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Attached files

ID Name Comment Uploaded Size Downloads
6932 Zika R0.jpg admin 04 Aug, 2016 73.53 Kb 639
6931 Births with 1st trimester infection.jpg admin 04 Aug, 2016 56.76 Kb 553
6930 Zika country.jpg admin 04 Aug, 2016 44.37 Kb 580
6929 Projected spread of Zika virus in the Americas.pdf admin 04 Aug, 2016 2.98 Mb 637