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Excess death rates in high-vaccinated countries exceeded COVID death rates by 3.4 X in 2023 - May 2024

Big Data Analysis Paper Suggests COVID Vaccination Increases Excess Mortality

which was reporting on the following preprint

Big Data Analysis Suggests COVID Vaccination Increases Excess Mortality Of Highly vaccinated North Temperate Zone and North Frigid Zone Countries

Preprint by Ken Sakura]

2 of the many charts


 Download the PDF from VitaminDWiki

What is the conclusion of the study? Asked Perplexity AI

The conclusion of the study is:The massive vaccination campaign is proven to be a huge mistake and should be stopped immediately. According to the analysis, COVID vaccination increases excess mortality in post-vaccination periods and the effect keeps increasing over time. Furthermore, the excess mortality caused by COVID vaccination is higher than COVID itself. Specifically:

  • The average daily excess mortality caused by COVID vaccinations (0.226) is about 1.7 times that of COVID itself (0.132) among the 29 highly vaccinated countries studied.
  • The most current daily excess mortality caused by vaccinations (0.449) is about 3.4 times that of COVID deaths.
  • The increasing trend of excess mortality caused by vaccinations doesn't seem to be ending, as new vaccines are still being administered gradually.

The study concludes that although the COVID pandemic will eventually end, the pandemic level excess mortality rate will be artificially perpetuated and increased in amount due to the negative effects of COVID vaccinations. This is considered an unacceptable failure, and the authors state the massive vaccination campaign should be terminated immediately.

What are possible errors in their analysis - Asked Perplexity AI May 2024

The analysis presented in the paper has several potential errors and questionable assumptions:

  1. Selection bias in country data 
    Only including data from 29 highly vaccinated countries in the northern hemisphere introduces selection bias. The effects may not generalize to other regions or vaccination levels.
    Excluding countries with low vaccination rates means the analysis cannot properly compare vaccinated vs. unvaccinated populations.
  2. Assumptions about excess mortality causes 
    The paper assumes excess mortality not explained by COVID deaths must be caused by vaccine side effects, without considering other potential factors like disruptions to healthcare systems, deaths from other diseases, etc.
    It dismisses the possibility of long-term effects from COVID infections contributing to excess mortality based solely on the time period variable coefficients.
  3. Normalization of COVID deaths and excess mortality 
    Normalizing COVID deaths and excess mortality rates to  within each country may introduce distortions, as the maximum values can be impacted by random variation.
    This normalization assumes COVID deaths and excess mortality must peak at the same time in each country, which may not be valid.
  4. Interpretation of regression coefficients 
    The increasing trend in vaccination period coefficients is interpreted as increasing vaccine side effects, but could alternatively reflect increasing healthcare disruptions or other time-varying factors in highly vaccinated countries.
    The negative coefficients for some time periods are interpreted as mortality displacement, but could have other explanations like lags in reporting deaths.
  5. Lack of control groups 
    Without including unvaccinated populations as controls, it is difficult to conclusively attribute excess mortality to vaccines rather than other factors correlated with high vaccination rates.
  6. Oversimplified vaccine assumptions
    Assuming all vaccine types/doses have the same potential side effects is an oversimplification that could impact the results.
  7. Lack of validation
    The analysis does not appear to be validated on held-out data or compared to other models, making it difficult to assess predictive performance.

In summary, while the analysis attempts to account for some confounding factors, there are many assumptions and potential biases that undermine the strong conclusions drawn about vaccines causing excess mortality. Independent validation and analysis of more comprehensive data would be needed to substantiate such claims. 
Click here for references etc

VitaminDWiki - Excess deaths - 5 possible reasons - many studies

starts with the following chart
Table of Contents as of May 2024
Possible reasons for increase in excess deaths (beyond COVID)
VitaminDWiki - Excess death rates in high-vaccinated countries exceeded COVID death rates by 3.4 X in 2023 - May 2024
VitaminDWiki - COVID infection (without hospitalization) – 1.7X more likely to die in 6 months if low Vitamin D – March 2024
Chart of excess deaths vs % vaccination of German states - Feb 2024
Excess mortality in England post Covid-19 pandemic: implications for secondary prevention - Lancet Jan 2024
Big increase in US who Died "Suddenly or Unexpectedly" in 2021 and 2022
3X increase in unspecified causes of Death (Canada 2019-2022) - Dec 2023
Too many Dead - 470 page book, Australia Dec 2023
17 million Excess deaths after COVID vaccination - Sept 2023
Excess deaths being noticed by Life Insurance Companies - USA Today Aug 2023
Chart of Excess Deaths in England and Wales - July 2023
Chart of global excess deaths by the Economist - May 2023
Hospital utilization Australia (NSW) 1415 Vaccinated, 0 unvaccinated - Dec 2022
Chart of Excess deaths in Germany 2020-2022
56,285 excess deaths in England and Wales in past year - May 2023
Excess deaths may be due to down-regulation of immune systm by repeated Vaccinations - March 2023
Study documented the correlation between % vaccinated and excess deaths - March 2023
19% Excess mortality in Europe: Dec, 2022
VitaminDWiki - Excess Deaths in Australia jumped up in 2022– preprint Feb 2023
Seeing Is Believing: What the Data Reveal About Deaths Following COVID Vaccine Rollouts Around the World 1/9/23
34% Excess deaths in Wales - 2nd week of Jan 2023
29% Excess Deaths in Scotland - Jan 2023
Chart of excess deaths and vaccination in the Netherlands - for 2022
CDC reported 349,000 excess US deaths in the first 3 quarters of 2022
Excess Deaths - 11 videos by Dr. Campbell
Vaccinated died at a higher rate than unvaccinated (in UK) - Sept 27, 2023
Vaccination rates associated with high excess death rates - Sept 8, 2023
(US) Life insurers confirm excess young deaths - Aug 17, 2023
Excess deaths persist - Aug 11, 2023
UK Excess deaths 22% above average (Charts for age and health problem) - May 12, 2023
interview of Dr. Campbell: not on YouTube, so he expresed his concerns: including Vitamin D - Feb 11, 2023
Dr. Campbell again on excess deaths (in countries with excess vaccionation or excess COVID) - Feb 9, 2023
Excess deaths, MP calls for urgent and thorough investigation - Feb 5, 2023
European excess deaths, official data - Campbell Jan 23, 2023
Excess deaths in Australia - Campbell Video Oct 12, 2022
Dr. Campbell video on UK Excess Deaths July 6. 2022
- - - - - - -
Excess Mortality and COVID-19: What is causing it? - Medcram Video - Oct 4, 2022
"Cause Unknown": The Epidemic of Sudden Deaths in 2021 & 2022 - Book Dec 2022
Excess deaths of young adults 3rd Quarter 2021 (actuary table)
Top cause of death in Alberta, Canada in 2021 was unknown
Regional Excess Deaths strongly associated with COVID vaccination rate (UK) – Sept 2022
Chart of Excess and COVID deaths in UK (to Aug 2022)
Chart of Excess and COVID deaths in UK (June and July 2022)
Chart of Excess and COVID deaths Globally as of Jan 2022
Chart of more excess deaths if more vaccination (high income countries) thru Sept 2021
Excess deaths India 2021
Long list of possible reasons for excess deaths
Tracking 15,000,000 covid-19 excess deaths across countries (excellent graphs) Economist - May 2022
Lancet - March and Sept 2022
VitaminDWiki - COVID cases and excess deaths exploding in parts of Asia - April 2022
Big increase in deaths reported by insurance companies and funeral homes - March 2022
How a Zambian morgue is exposing the real covid toll in Africa - April 2022
Sustained high prevalence of COVID-19 deaths from a systematic post-mortem study in Lusaka, Zambia: one year later - March 2022
Excess mortality during the Coronavirus pandemic - constantly updated
14+ VitaminDWiki Virus pages have "Excess Deaths" in the title
See also 2.3X increase in sudden deaths in Germany after start of vaccinations - Dec 2022
VitaminDWiki - 19 studies are on both of the categories Virus and Cardiovascular
VitaminDwiki COVID infections and vaccinations decrease Vitamin D – many studies
11+ VitaminDWiki pages have CAMPBELL in the title
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Attached files

ID Name Comment Uploaded Size Downloads
21237 Germany excess.webp admin 26 May, 2024 37.99 Kb 64
21236 UK excess mortality.webp admin 26 May, 2024 27.15 Kb 72
21235 COVID infection deaths vs vaccine deaths_CompressPdf.pdf admin 26 May, 2024 569.11 Kb 9