Note: More Americans are killed each day by the virus than Ukrainians are killed by Russians (March 17, 2022)
Table of contents
- COVID is actually increasing - new measures needed to replace "test positive"
- Worldometers - Daily COVID DEATHS as of March 15, 2022
- Experts Warn of Another Rise in U.S. COVID Cases as BA.2 Variant Spreads in Europe - March 15, 2022
- Covid cases are rising as omicron’s ‘stealth’ subvariant spreads around the world - March 15, 2022
- As COVID cases rise in the UK, what to expect in the US - March 14, 2022
- Telegraph March 16, 2022
- "it's possible, if not likely, that the United States could see a resurgence of infections in the near future" (WP March 16. 2022)
- A covid surge in Western Europe has U.S. bracing for another wave - March 16,2022
- More people have died from COVID over the last two days than in the 9/11 attacks—but I’m glad so many of you are over the pandemic.”
- Europe’s Covid spike has Biden officials concerned, could lead to return of masks
- COVID positive testing of waste water is surging, but cases are not - as of March 10, 2022
- COVID surge in Western Europe puts U.S. health experts on alert - March 17
- Another Covid Surge May Be Coming. Are We Ready for It? - March 19, 2022
- Take lots of Vitamin D at first signs of COVID (VitaminDWiki)
COVID Cases are rising even though # of people reporting is decreasing
Testing is no longer
- Free in many places in the world
- Mandatory in various situations
Soon number of cases will no longer be an accurate measure of infection
Candidate new measures include
- Days of sick leave
- Excess Deaths
- "Wastewater samples — which can predict when COVID-19 infections will increase — show that U.S. cases are rising again"
- "Cases are climbing in the United Kingdom — up 48% in the last week — and in more than half of countries in the European Union. The change appears to be due to several causes: the BA.2 subvariant of omicron, which is even more transmissible; the removal of pandemic mitigation efforts like mask mandates; and waning immunity from vaccination or prior infection."
- "Covid cases are rising in Europe with an increasing number attributed to a “stealth” subvariant of the omicron strain."
- "Covid cases have increased dramatically in the U.K. in recent weeks, and Germany continues to mark record high daily infections with more than 250,000 new cases a day."
- "France, Switzerland, Italy and the Netherlands are also seeing Covid infections start to rise again, aided and abetted by the relaxation of coronavirus measures and the spread of subvariant BA.2."
"Among the countries with the biggest recent surges are
- Finland, where new cases jumped by 84 percent in its weekly case total, to nearly 62,500 weekly cases;
- Switzerland, whose weekly total rose by 45 percent, to 182,190; and the
- United Kingdom, which had a 31 percent increase, to a weekly total of 414,480 new cases.
- Austria, Belgium, France, Germany and Italy have also recorded double-digit percentage increases in their weekly tallies."
- Infections are rising in all four UK nations for the first time since the end of January, with levels in Scotland already at a record high.
- Hong Kong's morgues run out of space from a deadly Omicron surge, with bodies being carted into refrigerated shipping containers.
- China reports 3,290 new cases from an Omicron-led outbreak that has put 30 million under lockdown.
- Israel detects two cases of a new strain – a combination of two omicron sub-variants – on passengers arriving at Ben Gurion airport.
"it's possible, if not likely, that the United States could see a resurgence of infections in the near future" (WP March 16. 2022)
- "Germany, a nation of 83 million people, saw more than 250,000 new cases and 249 deaths Friday, when Health Minister Karl Lauterbach called the nation’s situation “critical.” The country is allowing most coronavirus restrictions to end Sunday, despite the increase."
- Germany is both having problems and is giving up
- S. Korea daily cases are >600,000 and they are also planning on stopping restrictions Guardian
- "Korea has... stopped enforcing vaccine passes, and plans to drop a quarantine for vaccinated travellers arriving from overseas."
- Population of kore 52 million, for 1% of Korea gets COVID daily
- There is this great river in Egypt . . . .
- "[CDC data shows that, as of last week, BA.2 accounted for 23.1 percent of all new coronavirus infections in the United States, the largest percentage yet — up from 13.7 percent the week before. But BA.2 accounted for more than 38 percent of cases last week in parts of the Northeast and New England."
More people have died from COVID over the last two days than in the 9/11 attacks—but I’m glad so many of you are over the pandemic.”
a mid-March US Tweet the Atlantic
Politico March 17
- "The administration believes the surge in the United Kingdom is attributable to a range of factors, including decreased immunity among the vaccinated, the transmissibility of Omicron and the subvariant, and the easing of public health restrictions such as indoor mask mandates, the two officials said. Many of those factors are present in the U.S."
- "If a Covid-19 wave similar to that currently moving through Europe were to hit the U.S. over the next few months, it is possible that the CDC would again recommend Americans wear masks indoors where community transmission levels are high, Fauci said."
March 14 – Bloomberg (Drew Armstrong and Andre Tartar): “A wastewater network that monitors for Covid-19 trends is warning that cases are once again rising in many parts of the U.S., according to an analysis of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data…. More than a third of the CDC’s wastewater sample sites across the U.S. showed rising Covid-19 trends in the period ending March 1 to March 10, though reported cases have stayed near a recent low. The number of sites with rising signals of Covid-19 cases is nearly twice what it was during the Feb. 1 to Feb. 10 period…”
No hyperlinks below
Infectious disease experts are watching BA.2, the Omicron subvariant that appears to be more transmissible than the original strain. BA.2 is fueling outbreaks across Europe and is growing in dominance across the U.S.
“It’s picking up steam. It’s across at least 12 countries … from Finland to Greece,” Eric Topol, MD, director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute, told The Washington Post.
He has been following the surge and has posted recent charts of the outbreak on Twitter. Hospitalizations appear to be increasing in some places as well, he noted, despite the higher vaccination rates of many Western European countries.
“There’s no question there’s a significant wave there,” Topol said.
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Germany recorded more than 260,000 new cases on Tuesday, according to the data tracker from The New York Times, but coronavirus restrictions are still being lifted this week. The U.K. is reporting more than 75,000 daily cases, and the Netherlands is reporting more than 60,000 daily cases, which are considered major numbers, compared to their population sizes. Meanwhile, France, Italy, and Switzerland are also reporting large increases in infections.
During the past 2 years, widespread outbreaks in Europe have been followed by similar surges in the U.S. weeks later. Most experts interviewed by the Post predicted that it’s likely to happen again.
In the U.S., the BA.2 subvariant accounted for 23% of new COVID-19 cases for the week ending March 12, according to the latest estimate from the CDC, while the original Omicron strain made up about 66% of cases. The BA.2 percentage is up from 13.7% of new cases for the week ending March 5, 7.1% the previous week, and 4.1% the week before that. In parts of the Northeast and New England, BA.2 makes up more than 38% of new cases.
At the same time, the 7 -day average of COVID-19 cases continues to drop in the U.S., with about 31,000 daily cases currently, the New York Times data tracker shows. About 25,000 COVID-19 patients are hospitalized across the country, which has fallen 44% in the past 2 weeks, and about 1,200 deaths are being reported daily.
Several variables could affect the course of a future surge, the Post reported. Vaccination rates, coronavirus safety protocols, and access to antiviral medications could dictate how another wave unfolds across the country.
About 82% of the eligible U.S. population has received at least one vaccine dose, and 69% is fully vaccinated, according to the latest CDC data. About half of those who are eligible for booster doses have received one. In Germany, nearly 76% of people are fully vaccinated, the newspaper reported, and in the U.K., about 74% are fully vaccinated.
Health experts are also considering how natural immunity from a previous infection could affect a BA.2 surge. Millions of Americans were infected with the original Omicron strain, BA.1, which could provide protection. That said, researchers aren’t quite sure whether BA.1 infection protects against BA.2.
“It’s like a weather alert. Right now, the skies are sunny and bright, and we hope they stay that way,” Michael Osterholm, PhD, director of the University of Minnesota’s Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy, told CNN.
“But we could have some bad weather by evening,” he said. “We just don’t know.”
- “We’ve been wearing rose-colored glasses instead of correcting our vision,” one scientist said.
- "The clearest warnings that the brief period of quiet may soon be over have come, as they often have in the past two years, from Western Europe. In a number of countries, including Britain, France and Germany, case numbers are climbing as an even more contagious subvariant of Omicron, known as BA.2, takes hold."
- "In interviews, 10 epidemiologists and infectious disease experts said that many of the ingredients were in place for the same to happen in the United States, though it was unclear if or when a wave might hit or how severe it might be."
- "“I expect we’ll see a wave in the U.S. sooner than what most people expect,” said Kristian Andersen, a virologist at the Scripps Research Institute in La Jolla, Calif. He said that it could come as soon as April, or perhaps later in the spring or the early summer."
- "The BA.2 subvariant began its march across Europe around the time that certain countries were lifting restrictions and mask mandates, potentially giving it extra kindling for its spread."
- "...nearly 1,200 Americans on average are dying each day from Covid"
- more than Ukraine?
Take lots of Vitamin D at first signs of COVID
If you suspect COVID-19 symptoms, immediately take vitamin D
(200,000 IU = 10 days sunbathing on a beach)
Emergency Vitamin D
- Quickly energizes the body's immune system
- Vitamin D can fight COVID-19 only if taken soon after infection
- Works equally well with vaccinated (breakthru) and unvaccinated people
- Anticipate that more than half of the people immediately taking Vitamin D will not even test positive for COVID
- Taking Emergency Vitamin D will also extinguish colds, and flu (helps even if the symptoms are not COVID)
- 50,000 IU capsules are widely available on Amazon (50,000 size is rarely available in local stores)
- Vitamin D is like a small fire extinguisher, it can easily put out small blazes but not large ones
# of 50,000 IU capsules if healthy
0-50 lbs 2 caps, 50-150 lbs 3 caps, 150-200 lbs 4 caps, 200-250lbs 5 caps, >250 lbs 6 caps
# of capsules if suspect low vitamin D
senior, shut-in, dark skin, immunocompromized, diabetic, or poor gut
0-50 lbs 2 caps, 50-150 lbs 4 caps, 150-200 lbs 6 caps, 200-250lbs 7 caps, >250 lbs 9 caps
1/2 as many capsules if still have symptoms after 3 days
1/4 as many caps if had close contact with an infected person or if your vitamin D level is >40 ng
If need 1/2 capsule: Most 50,000 IU caps can be twisted open. Just use 1/2 of the powder/
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
1) COVID fought by 50 ng of Vitamin D 7 studies as of Jan 2022
4) Quick restoration of vitamin D in children – 10,000 IU per kg loading dose was not enough – Jan 2017
5) Vitamin D loading doses of up to 400,000 IU OK for adolescents – meta-analysis Dec 2014
6) Children in Intensive Care need Vitamin D loading dose of 10000 IU per kg (nearing a consensus) - Oct 2016
226,000 IU for 50 lbs for children in ICU = maxiumum loading dose.
Virus and COVID
7) Vitamin D can inhibit enveloped virus (e.g. Corona, Herpes, Zoster, Epstein, Hepatitis, RSV) – March 2011
8) Rapid Vitamin D Delivery May Result in Better COVID Outcomes - Dec 9, 2021
9) Large dose of calcifediol or vitamin D up to 15 days before COVID hospitalization reduced death rates (1.5X, 1.3X) – Dec 2021
10) COVID-19 risk reduced by vitamin D supplementation – umbrella review of 7 meta-analysis – Oct 2021
11) French recommended 200,000 IU of Vitamin D to stop COVID-19 - Jan 2021
Response to loading dose
12) Vitamin D loading dose peaks at about day 2
Vitamin D daily from the sun
Good Vitamin D Overview - covering 30 topics
VitaminDWiki interview and transcript - Jan 2022
- There are 30 topics about Vitamin D in the transcript, including many health problems successfully fought by Vitamin D, help before and during pregnancy, problems with vitamin d deficiency, levels to boots the immune system, dosing, and how to buy vitamin D around the world.
short URL = https://is.gd/dforcovid